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CriminalIncidentRateForecasting

Expired
Start: August 8, 2024Ends: September 15, 2024
Participants
121
Time Left
Ended
Subs/day
9
Challenge Overview

Welcome to Week 7 of the Weekly MachineHack Hackathon series!
This week's challenge is all about predicting crime incident rates—a critical and impactful problem in the domain of public safety and urban planning.

Challenge Overview 

Participants are tasked with developing a predictive model to estimate the number of crime incidents at a monthly level based on day and hour-level data. The dataset includes information on crime types, coordinates, and locations, presenting an opportunity to explore spatial and temporal patterns in crime data. This challenge will test your skills in time series analysis, spatial data processing, and predictive modeling.

Challenge Details 

Your mission is to build a time series regression model that accurately predicts the number of crime incidents for each month. You'll need to leverage the provided day and hour-level data, along with geographical coordinates and location details, to create a model that captures the intricate patterns of crime over time.

Participation and Benefits

  • Intermediate to Advanced Level: This hackathon is suitable for participants with a solid understanding of time series analysis, spatial data, and machine learning.
  • Community Engagement: Connect with fellow participants, discuss strategies, and seek advice in our active Telegram community.
  • Certificates and Recognition: All participants will receive a certificate, with top performers showcased on the leaderboard.
  • Live Walkthrough Session: Join us on 14th August 2024 at 7 PM for a live session, where we'll dive into the dataset and offer tips for tackling the challenge.

Submission and Evaluation

  • Submission Format: Submit your predictions in the specified format using the submission.csv file and upload the solution file with replicable solution for the hackathon submission.
  • Evaluation Metric: Your models will be evaluated based on their Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) in predicting monthly crime incidents.
  • Leaderboard: Track your progress and compete for the top position on the leaderboard.

Data Description 

The dataset for this hackathon includes:

  • Train.xlsx: Contains the historical crime data at day and hour-level granularity with coordinates and location information.
  • Test.csv: Test data for generating your predictions.
  • Submission.csv: The format for submitting your predictions.

How to Approach the Challenge

  1. Data Preprocessing and Feature Engineering: Clean the data, handle missing values, and create relevant features based on time and location.
  2. Time Series and Spatial Analysis: Analyze temporal trends and spatial distribution of crime incidents to inform your modeling approach.
  3. Modeling Approaches: Explore traditional time series models like ARIMA, and SARIMA, or advanced machine learning models like Random Forest, XGBoost, LSTM, or CNN for spatial-temporal data.
  4. Validation and Tuning: Use techniques like Time Series Cross-Validation and optimize your model's hyperparameters for the best performance.

A starter notebook within the notebook section will be accessible to our subscribers, offering a foundational structure for data processing and experimenting with model development. Customize and build on this to create your unique solution.

Getting Started

  • Register Now: Ensure you're registered to participate and receive updates.
  • Download the Dataset: Access the data from the MachineHack platform to start your work.
  • Join the Community: Connect with other participants and mentors via our Telegram group for collaboration and support.

Support and Resources 

For any questions, reach out to us at support@machinehack.com. Stay informed with the latest updates by subscribing to our newsletter.

Happy Hacking and Innovating! 🚀

Problem Statement

This challenge focuses on building advanced machine learning models to solve real-world problems. Participants will work with carefully curated datasets and compete to achieve the best performance metrics.

Target Column: Incident_Counts
Metric: root_mean_squared_error
Level: Intermediate
Submissions: 9/day
Top Submissions

No leaderboard data available

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Criminal Incident Rate Forecasting

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    Criminal Incident Rate Forecasting | Hackathon Hackathon | MachineHack